Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Unstapled

We all know that the World Cup of Hockey was the last thing the NHL needed. Now, teams have random "bye weeks" that make scoreboard watching rather difficult. But for now, let's take a look at where we stand from the All-Star break.


The east is less troublesome so I'll start there. Ottawa and Toronto have the least amount of games played to this point in their division, so it seems they will join Montreal as locks for the Atlantic. The Metro on the other hand is too close to call, but I will have to provide something. Let's take a look at the West in which event, is even more too close to call. At least in the Pacific. With three games in hand over the Blackhawks, I'm giving Minnesota the Central. But I'll say Washington gets the President's Trophy.



Let's make some looks here. If you had asked me 6-9 games ago, the playoff picture for me looks totally different. but, I'll give Ottawa the benefit of the doubt as the Atlantic leader. I've been expecting to see Boston drop for someone (now Toronto). I only expected three Atlantic teams since the preseason. It all comes down to who wins between the Rangers and Pittsburgh in my scenario. If Chicago doesn't do well, Nashville will be my pick in the West, but they wouldn't beat the Penguins and the Canadian teams have that "Canadian curse" in the finals. All subjective, of course. I'll leave it at that.

Sunday, January 29, 2017

2017 NLL Week 5 Rankings

Looking forward to going to the game in Toronto. I figure last week may have been the last of the weak spreads for these games. I'm looking more forward than back this time as three of the four games have significant value in some form. Georgia is still the team to beat and now have to show that they are a playoff caliber team.

Power Rankings:
  1. The Arlottas may have finally done something right; now can they be more than one-and-done? (1)
  2. This team is starting to heat up, and that's bad news for everyone else. (2)
  3. Not missing Poulin after all; But we all knew one of them was bound to go sooner rather than later. (6)
  4. Buffalo is a must win, especially with Bandits struggles; have played well without Hickey so far. (3)
  5. Needed to at least split the home-and-home; they;ll be chasing for a little bit. (4)
  6. The monkey's off their back, but beware another result like the one at BCA. (6)
  7. Starting to become large and in-charge now that the have healthy vets back. (8)
  8. Still too much goal trading by giving leads back, probably will be their theme of the season (transition). (5)
  9. To think there might be hope, well... there still is... sort of. (9)
Pick Recap:
Vancouver @ Saskatchewan
Rochester @ Toronto
Buffalo @ New England
Colorado @ Calgary
Georgia @ Vancouver

     Season Total: 12-7, .632 (5-0)

Below are the totals of Ricky and the four NLL staffers Tyson Geick, Mia Gordon, Andy McNamara, and Brian Shanahan, beginning with Week 3's games.

Team                 Wins      Losses     GB
  1. Ricky             10               3          --
  2. Shanny             9               4            1 
  3. Mia                   9               4            1  
  4. Andy                7               6            3
  5. Tyson              7               6            3


UNDERLINE indicates pick.
ITALICS indicates winner.

Friday, January 27, 2017

2017 NLL Week 5 Preview

Last Week:
2-2; 2-2 against the spread; 1-0 best bet

Picks:
Top Attraction:
Colorado Mammoth (2-2) @ Calgary Roughnecks (2-1)
Time: Sat 28 JAN 2017 9p, Scotiabank Saddledome
Line: Calgary -1.5
The Scoop: In the only rematch from last week, this back end of a home and home should deliver on promise. Calgary has bounced back well from not having their top goalie and will try to make it three in a row before hosting Saskatchewan next week, who could be a trap game given the result for the Rush against Rochester. Colorado has only played in one game with a margin greater than three when they lost in their second game of the year, the 15-9 thwart by Vancouver. Other than that, the cowbells should realistically in the game from start to finish as has been the case, with an impressive Zack Greer being prominent in the lineup. And for the second year, running, Calgary will be hosting Star Wars night, along with a themed jersey!
Outlook: Riggers by 3.

Rochester Knighthawks (1-2) @ Toronto Rock (2-0)
Time: Sat 28 JAN 2017 7p, Air Canada Centre
Line: Toronto -1.5
The Scoop: Last week is one the 585 area code would like to rather forget after being doubled up by Saskatchewan 16-8. They're going to the 905 from the 90 to the 401 in this classic rivalry. History favors the team from the Flower City as the away team has traditionally won fixtures in this rivalry unlike when these teams were still in their infancy, as evident by TO on opening night 12-5. Meanwhile, Toronto have the KHawks and Buffalo at home in succession to make games of massive importance. They would like to have some momentum heading into the QEW rivalry, but last week will not sit well with the visitors who wiant to come out of the gate to take out their frustrations on the Rock and the ACC. The lack of games could also be a problem for Toronto.
Outlook: Rochacha by 3.

Best of the Rest:
Vancouver Stealth (2-3) @ Saskatchewan Rush (1-2)
Time: Fri 27 JAN 2017 8:30p, SaskTel Centre
Line: Saskatchewan -1.5
The Scoop: The Rush got a much needed blowout win at the Knighthawks expense. We all know what this team is capable of, but Adam Jones will certainly be under the microscope again. Vancouver meanwhile looked hot but are really not as they hav followed their opening two victories with three straight defeats. They'll be looking to get out of their own funk against a team that did the same last week.
Outlook: Saskatchewan 3.

Buffalo Bandits (1-2) @ New England Black Wolves (0-3)
Time: Sat 28 JAN 2017 7p, Mohegan Sun Arena
Line: New England -1.5
The Scoop: To say both teams need this win is an understatement. Buffalo got their first win against what we though might be an actually but not really competitive Stealth team, while win-less New England will be hosting their home opener. The Bandits are still playing with a chip on their shoulder for the Black Wolves "stealing" the team colors, something uniquely Buffalo's in the league for 23 years. The casino dwellers haven't been within 5 goals of either Eastern opponent they've faced (Rochester and Georgia). But by degrees of separation, They lost in overtime in Denver against Colorado 10-11, a team who won in Buffalo 12-8 on opening weekend. Unless I'm reading too much into that, the cards appear to be in New England's favor.
Outlook: Black Wolves by 2.

Dog of the Day:
Georgia Swarm (3-0) @ Vancouver Stealth (2-3)
Time: Sat 28 JAN 2017 10p, Langley Events Centre
Line: Georgia -1.5
The Scoop: What can't the Swarm do right now?! This should be a breeze almost given the Stealth play in Saskatchewan the night before. Vancouver could very well find themselves in the division basement again and they may begin to press the panic button. They clearly haven't been the same organization since Chris Hall passed a way when it comes to on-field success. But Georgia's growing support as a lacrosse community is being rewarded with at least one solid team, though the MLL's Atlanta Blaze could use some more work.
Outlook: Buzz by 5. - best bet
*All times Eastern.

Sunday, January 22, 2017

2017 NLL Week 4 Rankings

I have no idea what I saw in two of the games yesterday - the late game especially. Saskatchewan started this week as they finished the last one and it cost them again whereas Toronto almost blew it. Georgia did the same as the Rock but with a much more comfortable cushion and kept the margin of victory to 4. The Black Wolves almost got the win in Overtime, only to join Buffalo at the bottom of the standings, which currently are almost exactly the reverse of the end of last season in the East. The jury is still out in deliberation on that game in Langley, though.

Power Rankings:
  1. They wanted that revenge on the Black Wolves like nobody's business. (2)
  2. Obliterate Rochester by doubling them up; they needed that to crack the win column. (4)
  3. Let's see how they handled the week off. (3)
  4. The lost at home to a team with growing confidence and momentum - a dangerous combo. (1)
  5. It's been a long time since the Bandits put up 20 or more; DiRuscio start was a message. (6)
  6. Perhaps last season was just a hiccup; Faith in Scigliano showing given Poulin trade to Georgia. (9)
  7. Finding form of last days in Philadelphia and it isn't pretty to see. (5)
  8. Deja vu for the Knighthawks with a bright spot in Graeme Hossack. (7)
  9. Saskatchewan is around the corner, and losing to the Bandits wasn't a good thing to do. (8)
Pick Recap:
Georgia @ New England
Calgary @ Colorado
Vancouver @ Buffalo
Rochester @ Saskatchewan
     Season Total: 7-7, .500 (3-1)

Below are the totals of Ricky and the four NLL staffers Tyson Geick, Mia Gordon, Andy McNamara, and Brian Shanahan, beginning with Week 3's games.

Team                 Wins      Losses     GB
  1. Ricky               5               3            --
  2. Shanny             5               3            -- 
  3. Mia                   5               3            --  
  4. Andy                 4               4            1
  5. Tyson               4               4            1

UNDERLINE indicates pick.
ITALICS indicates winner.

Saturday, January 21, 2017

2016 NFL Conference Round Preview

Results: 6-2 (3-1), 4-4 (3-1) vs. spread

Picks:
NFC Championship Game:

Green Bay Packers (10-6) @ Atlanta Falcons (11-5)
Time: Sat 14 JAN 2017 3:05p FOX, 60°F Cloudy, Georgia Dome
Line: Atlanta -4.5
The Scoop: This one is simple - last game at the Georgia Dome. More of a reason for the commissioner to for go the AFC game. The big thing I think is that there is a possibility of either a blowout by Atlanta or another high scoring game for Green Bay. The Packers’ defense against Dallas was nothing to write home about, yet they Seattle did just as poorly. But if they had trouble against Dallas, don’t think this will be a walk in the park either. However, we’re still tracking the potential of the Lambeau team winning the Super Bowl by virtue of beating the Giants in the wild card round, in which the winner of that fixture in the playoffs goes on to get Lombardi’s trophy. I’m expecting the peach state’s soon-to-be-forgotten venue to go out with a bang (in more ways than one).
Outlook: Peregrines, 31-24.

AFC Championship Game:

Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5) @ New England Patriots (14-2)
Time: Sun 15 JAN 2017 6:40p CBS, 61°F Cloudy, Gillette Stadium
Line: New England -6
The Scoop: It’s been a long time since Pittsburgh has lost to the Pats in the playoffs dating back to 2004. Certain comments from the Steelers camp is suggesting that the Shield wants New England in the Super Bowl again. Despite the great performances from Le’Veon Bell, it’s all about Big Ben. Roethlisberger has not entirely been himself since coming back from his personal week off following their regular season tilt with the Dolphins. This is where the Pats will miss Rob Gronkowski. While they have other tight ends and their wide receiving corps, the non-Brady play-maker is out. Unless someone channels their inner Gronk, But if Pittsburgh wins, the NFC winner will be the shoe-in favorite to win two weeks from now.
Outlook: Terrible Towels, 28-27.

-Ricky 

Friday, January 20, 2017

2017 NLL Week 4 Preview

Last Week:
2-2; 0-4 against the spread; 1-0 best bet

Picks:
Top Attraction:
New England Black Wolves (0-2) @ Georgia Swarm (2-0)
Time: Fri 20 JAN 2017 7:35p, Harrah's Cherokee Casino Field @ Infinite Energy Arena
Line: Georgia -1.5
The Scoop: I would not want to face the Swarm right now. They’re riding their regular season form from last year and showing that the play-in to take on the Bandits last May was just one game. New England, the team that beat them, meanwhile, have not won a game since beating Georgia in the playoffs. This would provide an opportune time to break the goose egg in the "w" column. But Georgia is seemingly a better team at home so far, so it’s a tough ask for the Black Wolves to win in Gwinett County.
Outlook: Swarm by 2.

Best of the Rest:
Calgary Roughnecks (1-1) @ Colorado Mammoth (2-1)
Time: Fri 20 JAN 2017 9:30p, Pepsi Center
Line: Colorado -1.5
The Scoop: This fixture is always entertaining. The Mammoth have played great other than their blip to Vancouver and even then they were solid but the Stealth earned a statement win. Calgary having Frank Scigliano back is pivotal and it showed when they beat Vancouver last week on the road. Someone will have to lose this game trying to continue their forward momentum. Colorado, however have seen positives from Zach Greer despite losing Adam Jones to Saskatchewan for him.
Outlook: Mammoth by 2.

Rochester Knighthawks (1-0) @ Saskatchewan Rush (0-2)
Time: Sat 21 JAN 2017 8:30p, SaskTel Centre
Line: Colorado -1.5
The Scoop: Unlike Rochester who became the first team to win three straight titles, Edmonton, is in the process of trying to do that themselves. This could very well, despite not playing each other often prior, spark a modern rivalry reminiscent of Buffalo and (then) Philadelphia or shortly there after Rochester with Toronto. However, Rochester only early on had beaten the Rush not including the 2012 final - which is even better than the Rush's record against Buffalo (4-3, before playoffs, Bandits have won last 2). The KHawks are looking to have an early impressive win to knock the champs to 0-3.
Outlook: Rush by 3.

Dog of the Day:
Vancouver Stealth (2-1) @ Buffalo Bandits (0-2)
Time: Sat 21 JAN 2017 7:30p, KeyBank Center
Line: Vancouver -1.5
The Scoop:Buffalo has one more game in their home-stand to have all systems go. Dvide DiRuscio may need to be the guy that protects the twine tent over Anthony Cosmo. Vancouver had a great opening weekend after the won their second game against Colorado in convincing fashion. Vancouver has not beaten the Bandits since a 2014 home game which was the first since moving to Langley (Buffalo's team record 8-game losing streak), and have lost five of six since beating the Bandits in Buffalo in 2012 who are 17-6 all time against the Stealth franchise.
Outlook: Buffalo by 1. - best bet
*All times Eastern.

Sunday, January 15, 2017

2017 NLL Week 3 Rankings

I have no idea what I saw in two of the games yesterday - the late game especially. Saskatchewan started this week as they finished the last one and it cost them again whereas Toronto almost blew it. Georgia did the same as the Rock but with a much more comfortable cushion and kept the margin of victory to 4. The Black Wolves almost got the win in Overtime, only to join Buffalo at the bottom of the standings, which currently are almost exactly the reverse of the end of last season in the East. The jury is still out in deliberation on that game in Langley, though.

Power Rankings:
  1. Saw the old turf recently on a DVD I made, only improvement to Pepsi Center needed. (3)
  2. Poulin may have been the missing link; had a bad 4th quarter stretch though. (7)
  3. Looks like the Rock of old have returned from the dead. (8)
  4. 13 is generally the amount to win, Toronto barely met that. (1)
  5. How's their off season dealings looking so far? (2)
  6. Saved face with the early fourth quarter run; host Vancouver next week before road trip. (4)
  7. Tough road game against a team who will desperately want to win. (6)
  8. If the giants wake up, the great start could be for not in the coming weeks. (5)
  9. That 4th quarter man, it could've cost them big time. (9)
Pick Recap:

Saskatchewan @ Toronto
Georgia @ Buffalo
New England @ Colorado
Calgary @ Vancouver
     Season Total: 4-6, .400 (2-2)

Below are the totals of Ricky and the four NLL staffers Tyson Geick, Mia Gordon, Andy McNamara, and Brian Shanahan, beginning with Week 3's games.

Team                 Wins      Losses
  1. Andy                 2               2          
  2. Mia                   2               2  
  3. Ricky               2               2        
  4. Tyson               2               2            
  5. Shanny            1               3

UNDERLINE indicates pick.
ITALICS indicates winner.

Saturday, January 14, 2017

2016 NFL Divisional Round Preview

Results: 3-1, 1-3 vs. spread

Picks:
Top Attraction:

Seattle Seahawks (10-5-1) @ Atlanta Falcons (11-5)
Time: Sat 14 JAN 2017 4:35p FOX, Indoors, Georgia Dome
Line: Atlanta -5
The Scoop: The Falcons may have gotten the best year yet out of Matt Ryan. Or maybe because all of the good quarterbacks have under-performed and the spotlight has been almost entirely on Dak Prescott and (later on) Aaron Rodgers, more on them later. Seattle meanwhile put the beat in beat-down of the Lions last week. This week's opponent, however, is much more formidable than that.
Outlook: Dirty Birds, 34-27.

Best of the Rest:

Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5) @ Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)
Time: Sun 15 JAN 2017 8:20p from 1:05p NBC, Rain 31°F Wind 8 E, Arrowhead Stadium
Line: Kansas City -1.5
The Scoop: The better of the two running games won last week between the Steel City and Miami. But the focus moving forward is the adjustment of when this game will be played. The inclement weather expected for the afternoon now means that it will follow Green Bay/Dallas with the hope that the field will be somewhat playable at game-time. Kansas City has the strength of their division to their advantage and will be a great tool moving through the playoffs.
Outlook: KC, 21-17.

Green Bay Packers (10-6) @ Dallas Cowboys (13-3)
Time: Sun 8 JAN 2017 4:40p FOX, Fog 44°F Wind 7 N - Likely Indoors, AT&T Stadium
Line: Dallas -4.5
The Scoop: If Jerry Jones decides that Tony Romo needs to be a part of this run that the Cowboys are on, they will lose. Not because of Romo, but rather Jones' love of him as the face of the franchise. Green Bay may just win the Super Bowl this year given who their last opponent was. The winner of that fixture (home and away) in the playoffs has won the big game in each of those seasons.
Outlook: Packers, 24-21.

Dog of the Day:

Houston Texans (9-7) @ New England Patriots (14-2)
Time: Sat 7 JAN 2017 8:15p CBS, Partly Cloudy 26°, CenturyLink Field
Line: New England -17
The Scoop: Is it safe to say 6 straight AFC Championship appearances for New England? One would think, although teams are not who we thought they were when Weeks 1-4 were upon us. But the real test is the winner of the other matchup where Kansas City is my AFC pick and New England have yet to beat a Steelers team in the playoffs in the Brady/Belichick era. Houston may just as well book tickets back home for their exit physicals.
Outlook: Pats, 40-14 - best bet

-Ricky 

Friday, January 13, 2017

2017 NLL Week 3 Preview

Last Week:
1-3; 2-2 against the spread; 1-0 best bet

Picks:
Top Attraction:
Saskatchewan Rush (0-1) @ Toronto Rock (0-1)
Time: Sat 14 JAN 2017 7p, Air Canada Centre
Line: Saskatchewan -1.5
The Scoop: Toronto got off to a flying start, long removed from the days when they couldn't win at Blue Cross Arena. Saskatchewan got up-ended by a sneaky Vancouver Stealth, who beat both Calgary and Colorado. Meanwhile Georgia put up a second half clinic against the Rush. These two met in the 2015 Finals, and what a show that was. While the ACC isn't the fortress it used to be, you still see the place rockin' every now and then.
Outlook: Rock by 1.

Best of the Rest:
Calgary Roughnecks (0-1) @ Vancouver Stealth (2-0)
Time: Sat 14 JAN 2017 10p, Scotiabank Saddledome
Line: Vancouver -1.5
The Scoop: Even though Frankie Scigliano and Craig Hartnett missed the tilt between these two last week at the Rough House, it seems that Calgary has been on a decline the past couple seasons. So far, they are set to repeat their season opening performance of six losses last year. Vancouver took advantage of a rookie goalie in Christian del Bianco before Zach Higgins salvaged a respectable result for the Riggers. The true test for Vancouver will be in week five at the SaskTel Centre. The Stealth still need to bring their "Ol' Snake Eyes" ninja logo back...
Outlook: Ol' Snake Eyes by 1.

New England Black Wolves (0-1) @ Colorado Mammoth (1-1)
Time: Sat 14 JAN 2017 9p, Pepsi Center
Line: Colorado -1.5
The Scoop: The reigning champs got even better over the off season in a straight up trade for Colorado's Adam Jones in exchange for sending veteran Zach Greer. The Blockbuster isn't a loss for the mile-high team, but shouldn't do Georgia any favors. The Swarm's off-season addition of goalie Mike Poulin can be the difference in this team's success for the near future.
Outlook: Tusks by 3. - best bet

Dog of the Day:
Georgia Swarm (1-0) @ Buffalo Bandits (0-1)
Time: Sat 14 JAN 2017 7:30p, KeyBank Center
Line: Georgia -1.5
The Scoop: Georgia absolutely exploded in their home win against the defending champs. The team that lost to those champs have not beaten Georgia at home since the Swarm left the Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul. Two more chances to get a home win before hitting the road, but Banditland would prefer sooner rather than later. Georgia needs to win now if they want to have a shot with their poor home record against Buffalo following them from Minnesota.
Outlook: Thieves by 2.
*All times Eastern.

Sunday, January 8, 2017

2017 NLL Week 2 Rankings

After the pre-season brawl between the Riggers and Rush, goalies Frankie Scigliano and Aaron Bold (respectively) along with a few others got one game suspensions. In the case of the net-minders, boy were they the difference makers this weekend. And as we found out in the game between the Swarm and Rush: three Thompsons are better than one. I'm expecting fluctuation over the next couple weeks.

Power Rankings:
  1.  Wow did they look flat in that second half; old foe answers critics. (1)
  2.  Disorganization from too many new players it seems. (2)
  3. I don't believe what I just saw, I don't believe what I just saw. (3)
  4. Looking for first home win against Georgia since moving from Minnesota. (4)
  5. Remember what I said last week? Still holds true - where did those wins come from?(9)
  6. I wasn't kidding when I thought they would be most improved...(6)
  7. This is what I came to expect last year, but it came a bit late.(7)
  8. Rush good test with Boldy coming back.(8)
  9. You can only feel bad for del Bianco, at least Higgins kept 'em in it.(5)
Pick Recap:

VancouverCalgary
Saskatchewan @ Georgia
New England @ Rochester
Vancouver @ Colorado
     Season Total: 2-4, .333 (1-3)

UNDERLINE indicates pick.
ITALICS indicates winner.

Saturday, January 7, 2017

2016 NFL Wild Card Preview




Picks:
Top Attraction:
New York Giants (11-5) @ Green Bay Packers (10-6)
Time: Sun 8 JAN 2017 4:40p FOX, High: 14°F | Low: 12°F, Lambeau Field
Line: Green Bay -5
The Scoop: Gaints. Packers. Lambeau. Enough said. The history between these two franchises with the playoff history of Lambeau makes for a great set of story lines. Assuming the Lions lose to Seattle, the winner would play in Dallas. Even for the Giants, beating a team three times in a row is a tall order.
Outlook: Pack, 23-21

Best of the Rest:
Oakland Raiders (12-4) @ Houston Texans (9-7)
Time: Sat 7 JAN 2017 4:35p ESPN, 25°F Wind 15 NNW, NRG Stadium
Line: Houston -3.5
The Scoop: Without their first and second string quarterback, the deck seems stacked against Oakland with Connor Cook as the starter for the first time in his career. However, with the performance of former Ubiversity of Buffalo standout Khalil Mack, the game should be as close as the betting line suggests. Houston boasts one of the best defenses in the league, but their offense has been inconsistent throughout much of the season.
Outlook: Raiders, 14-13.

Miami Dolphins (10-6) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5)
Time: Sun 8 JAN 2017 1:05p CBS, High: 15°F | Low: 10°F, Heinz Field
Line: Pittsburgh -10.5
The Scoop: Pittsburgh need to start well early and get the run defense to stop Jay Ajayi. The Fins did win the regular season meeting in mid-October with Ryan Tannehill under center. If Ajayi isn't the guy, then Matt Moore in place of Tannehill at quarteback can be the difference for them. The Steelers meanwhile, recovered nicely from not having Ben Roethlisberger for a short period of time and then when he came back after not playing.
Outlook: Steel City, 27-17.

Dog of the Day:
Detroit Lions (9-7) @ Seattle Seahawks (10-5-1)
Time: Sat 7 JAN 2017 8:15p NBC, 28°F Wind 8 SSE, CenturyLink Field
Line: Seattle -8
The Scoop: Detroit's run to the playoffs began on Thanksgiving when they beat Minnesota, who were then tied with the Lions for the division lead. Seattle has been Seattle although in a less competitive division with the random decline of the Cardnials in Arizona. They can't win the Super Bowl, but perhaps the Lions can get there if they can get past Seattle.
Outlook: Seahawks, 34-21 - best bet
-Ricky 

Friday, January 6, 2017

2017 NLL Week 2 Preview

Last Week:
1-1; 0-2 against the spread; 1-0 best bet.

Picks:
Top Attraction:
New England Black Wolves (0-0) @ Rochester Knighthawks (0-1)
Time: Sat 7 JAN 2017 7:30p, Connors & Ferris Field @ Blue Cross Arena
Line: New England -1.5
The Scoop: New England got two former Bandits this off season and had a matching draft class. Rochester coming off last week's home loss to the Rock has seemingly missed Mike Sullivan and Craig Point from their roster. The name concerning these teams is Scott Self who joined the Black Wolves after being let go by the KHawks.
Outlook: Rochester by 1.

Best of the Rest:
Vancouver Stealth (0-0) @ Calgary Roughnecks (0-0)
Time: Fri 6 JAN 2017 9p, Scotiabank Saddledome
Line: Calgary -1.5
The Scoop: These two teams are not the teams we had come used to coming into this decade.Calgary is coming off one of it's worst seasons in franchise history while Vancouver took a performance dip one winning it all in 2011. The stealth's only playoff appearance since then was when the league had a crossover rule which saw them in thanks to a mid-season bandits record 8-game losing streak. Calgary unlike Rochester and Toronto had the benefit of a smaller division.
Outlook: 'Necks by 4.

Saskatchewan Rush (0-0) @ Georgia Swarm (1-0)
Time: Sat 7 JAN 2017 7:05p, Harrah's Cherokee Casino Field Infinite Energy Arena
Line: Saskatchewan -1.5
The Scoop: The reigning champs got even better over the off season in a straight up trade for Colorado's Adam Jones in exchange for sending veteran Zach Greer. The Blockbuster isn't a loss for the mile-high team, but shouldn't do Georgia any favors. The Swarm's off-season addition of goalie Mike Poulin can be the difference in this team's success for the near future.
Outlook: Rush by 5.

Dog of the Day:
Vancouver Stealth (0-0) @ Colorado Mammoth (1-0)
Time: Sat 7 JAN 2017 9p, Pepsi Center
Line: Colorado -1.5
The Scoop: Colorado looked brilliant in Buffalo last week and showed that they are hungry to dethrone the Rush as champions of the west. Vancouver as of this season will have played in each of their homes for at least four seasons having played the same in Everett, WA and six total in both San Jose and their founding as the Albany Attack.
Outlook: Colorado by 7. - best bet
*All times Eastern.

Wednesday, January 4, 2017

The Vault: The Dark Art of Persuasion


This way back Wednesday is from 6 JUNE 2016 via LinkedIn.

The Dark Art of Persuasion

Sports are supposed to be our getaway from our lives, right? Well how often do you think about the people both known and behind the scenes trying to bring it to you? Chances are you don't. So it has to be an inside job, like government officials, where jobs are given to their allied cronies, doesn't it? Wrong again, at least in part. One of the things you'll hear most is to make connections. But this can only take you so far - and I'm not talking just about doing the hard work yourself to stand out. Let me explain.
Think about what you're supposed to do with these connections. It would be a good idea to ask yourself why you know the expertise of these persons and how your relationship is with them. It doesn't have to be tight per se, but at least on good terms. But for the sake of getting ahead, I know that it isn't enough and never was. Here's why, sports business is often like the political arena, is it not? That's a rhetorical question. However, a serious one at that. This is especially true at the Division I level of the NCAA. The myriad of people that have complained about certain policies and procedural structuring have among hearing my opinion and suggest in all seriousness "why don't you try to crack the national office" (and more recently FIFA) - and perhaps I should. In time, I'll consider.
Suppose I do make it to Indianapolis and get my shot at the NCAA offices. Then what - where will my connections take me. I need to up my game, get on a new level. That's where my self-proclaimed old-world philosophy kicks in. It isn't about having said connections anymore - it's about persuading them: the most difficult thing in sport, especially politics, to do. If I have an idea, I can't just pitch it to the appropriate governing board. I have to lobby it on the floor amongst my colleagues to invest in what I have to say, enough so that they will vote in favor of my referendum. It's a simple concept, but it's not easy.
This is not your mom-and-pop, English class public speaking persuasion essay - oh no. This is well beyond that. Magnified a thousand times, if you will. Persuasion is an art in at least this industry, just like the industry it represents. Sports are supposed to be a spectacle. And even that part requires persuasion for supporters to choose a franchise to call their own. They barrack but also try to get other fans either in from un-affiliation or convert fans of other franchises. That in itself is very different from the persuasion that happens in the war rooms and other areas of a front office or conference room.
We can break that down further: micro-persuasion and macro-persuasion, the former geared more towards intra-organizational operations as opposed to even multinational operations across multiple industries with the latter. The big key with those is that micro-persuasion must come before macro-persuasion. For instance, when a board of governors decides if rules need to be changed, they must first agree whether or not it is necessary then (if so) determine what changes to make and then how to implement them - micro-persuasion. Once those and other variables are agreed upon, we then have to test them which affects the playing contingent and coaching staff which gets viewed by the public on national or local television who then get to voice their (seemingly) ignored opinions - macro-persuasion.
Take it from someone who has officiated sports. It is the most ridiculed job in sports but also the most revered. We know officials make mistakes here and there in small quantity at a time (usually). We know they do make a genuine effort to get it right (most of us). But what is our real number one listing in the job description - it's actually three things. Enhance safety of those involved as best as possible, do your best to make the call, and sell the call. The last of those has a few different reasons. One is that you can confer with other officials if need be (or replays at professional levels). Also, there is leaving it behind you if you did get it wrong and move on to the next call. On top of that, whether right or wrong, if you sell the call (regardless of the prior two reasons), the call stands and it makes you look confident in your call that you can own up to a missed call later despite what teams or supporters may think.
So if I make my connections buy into my propositions, then I can get far and succeed in my endeavors among an organization? Well, it's not guaranteed, but you'll have enhanced your chances to succeed dramatically. You don't need numbers or facts to tell you this, only because persuasion is so powerful that if you add a single grain of sand to one side of a balancing scale that the scale will tip to one side. Anything is possible with persuasion. If you want no part of sport politics, I don't envy you. But because of the societal impact it has, it is (I suppose) a necessary evil.  Whether a filibuster or just a genuine lack of supporting evidence, stating your case needs the help of the influence you have on your colleagues in this business. Don't get caught being the fish out of water because, remember, the power of persuasion is a most dangerous game.

Monday, January 2, 2017

Halfway Premier League Report

Coming into the second half of the 2016-17 Premier League season this morning, I wanted to see if certain developments came ahead of today's matches - which ultimately did not (the Swansea coaching vacancy, though word has it Paul Clement will be in as early as tomorrow full-time). Nonetheless, here is my mid-season Premier League Report

Best: Chelsea
Honorable Mention: Liverpool, Arsenal, Tottenham
Their undefeated run right now just sums up how Antonio Conte has done time and time again with making the necessary adjustments to win. He did it with Juventus and the Italian national team and now at Chelsea Football Club.The blip of last season seems to be well behind them now and are well in control of their destiny.

Worst: Swansea
(Dis)honorable Mention: Crystal Palace, Hull City
This team simply cannot play together. It is seemingly last season's Chelsea 2.0 or perhaps 0.5 as it were. Should Bradley have had the transfer window, I don't know. What I do know is that he was likely going to be doomed from the start - any manager in this situation for that matter. This team must go down this year meaning I can't see anything else happening to this club this season, period.

Over-Achievers: West Bromwich Albion
Honorable Mention: Burnley
Tony Pulis is a good manager for keeping clubs up around mid-table. As it stands, West Brom would have their joint best finish in the Prem if they stay at 8th position. This would also be Pulis' best finish as a Prem manager. And they are doing it rather quietly keeping pace with nearest opponent Everton, who themselves are having a bounce-back year under new manager Ronald Koeman. If they keep up and a top team slips up, they could very well see time in Europa League play next season, a reach though it may be.

Under-Achievers: Leicester City
Honorable Mention: Manchester United, Sunderland, Southampton, Watford
Vardy managed to stay, Mahrez managed to stay. But who is feeding them the ball? That was N'Golo Kante, who's enjoying great success at Chelsea. However, they were fortunate to draw on the easy side in the group stage of the Champions League, but still managed not to lose until their last game to finish top of the group. This team can still be a mid-table side under Claudio Ranieri, but results need to come sooner rather than later.

Biggest Surprise: West Ham United
Honorable Mention: Bournemouth
While they started out slowly, they seem like they are starting to salvage something out of the season. Payet just hasn't seen the form of last season and that hasn't helped. The Olympic Stadium is not what Upton Park was, and that might be hurting them in different ways. It would seem that their start to December of three straight wins and the draw prior to that might be the blue print to be consistent enough in the coming months.

Biggest Disappointment: Manchester City
Honorable Mention: Crystal Palace, Stoke City
Antonio Conte has done his job at Chlesea. Pep Guardiola at City, well... not so much. Sitting in the Europa League spot behind Spurs and out of the Champions League places cannot be sitting well with Guradiola - or Sheikh Mansour for that matter. The fact that Yaya Toure is probably their bright spot in recent weeks shows what trials and tribulations are being experienced at the Etihad.
Since losing to title rivals Chelsea, this squad has not shown enough that this team can be champions of England.

As it Stands:
Chelsea - 49
Liverpool - 43
Arsenal - 40
Totenham Hotspur - 39
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Manchester City - 39
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Manchester United - 36
Everton - 27
West Bromwich Albion - 26
Southampton - 24
Bournemouth - 24
Burnley - 23
West Ham United - 22
Watford - 22
Stoke City - 21
Leicester City - 20
Middlesbrough - 18
Crystal Palace - 16
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Sunderland - 14
Hull City - 13
Swansea City - 12

Predictions:
(Preseason)
Top 4: Southampton, West Ham, Arsenal, Man City
Europa: Watford
Relegation: Burnley, Sunderland, West Brom

(Now)

-Ricky